Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 1.403902 1.609777 1.835961 2.103004 2.409831 2.751533 3.161234
2025-07-06 1.051319 1.304739 1.606138 1.991431 2.471578 3.051156 3.805367
2025-07-13 0.889365 1.181829 1.554358 2.064625 2.747109 3.630956 4.866723
2025-07-20 0.774531 1.093392 1.524979 2.153553 3.048945 4.283689 6.124805
2025-07-27 0.679265 1.012202 1.488032 2.220308 3.324285 4.935419 7.481815
2025-08-03 0.593923 0.929300 1.432748 2.247184 3.539864 5.526133 8.836642
2025-08-10 0.505398 0.826509 1.330481 2.183580 3.602537 5.887676 9.885732
2025-08-17 0.424739 0.723192 1.211042 2.071859 3.566487 6.079620 10.677589
2025-08-24 0.374391 0.662047 1.150540 2.046826 3.667298 6.505254 11.921726
2025-08-31 0.330329 0.605119 1.088696 2.008983 3.737140 6.881534 13.126243
2025-09-07 0.310588 0.588625 1.095006 2.093287 4.037867 7.709304 15.287302
2025-09-14 0.286275 0.560131 1.075241 2.124995 4.241659 8.379824 17.238135
2025-09-21 0.256490 0.518371 1.027360 2.100267 4.341066 8.880612 18.966940
2025-09-28 0.222861 0.464494 0.949003 2.003730 4.281781 9.056459 20.050493
2025-10-05 0.211216 0.454071 0.956555 2.086496 4.611130 10.087667 23.161546
2025-10-12 0.201627 0.446645 0.969239 2.181983 4.982275 11.263188 26.794145
2025-10-19 0.190737 0.434840 0.970879 2.253031 5.308822 12.387010 30.493749
2025-10-26 0.177703 0.416393 0.955346 2.282327 5.542348 13.330330 33.913194
2025-11-02 0.159678 0.383928 0.903712 2.218856 5.543504 13.720655 36.008636
2025-11-09 0.140660 0.346552 0.835757 2.105930 5.405192 13.747573 37.162589
2025-11-16 0.129017 0.325688 0.804682 2.080846 5.486797 14.340747 39.932819
2025-11-23 0.117861 0.304588 0.770344 2.042574 5.528296 14.835898 42.517182
2025-11-30 0.114121 0.302067 0.782429 2.128448 5.916727 16.314005 48.153876